pbl-fheck.blogspot.com: State Prediction: New Jersey

Sunday, November 9, 2008

State Prediction: New Jersey

Photobucket

Photobucket

I choose New Jersey because I lived there for most of my life. I support Obama, and I want hi to clean up the environment in New Jersey. I have asthma, so the pollution was a major factor in moving to North Carolina. Although I left, I wish to go back to live in the north, specifically the mountains of New Jersey, and I can’t unless the pollution is cleaned up.

My linear regression on the calculator predicted that Obama will win the election in New Jersey. This will impact the election by adding 15 electoral votes to the Democratic ballot. I feel that the linear regression tool is a good way to predict the outcome of an election because the chance of a trend in polls suddenly changes to the polar opposite is very slim.

No comments:

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)

The Science of the Election

Issues

Barack Obama

Nuclear Weapons: Barack Obmama has a standing goal to eliminate or reduce the world's nuclear stockpiles greatly. He stresses that the United States of America reduce our nuclear weapon number.

Environment: Barack Obama plans to improve the CO2 emission restraint laws. He stresses protecting the environment and minding alternate, not-destructive energy sources.

Off-Shore Drilling: Obama plans to force the oil companies use their leased land (68 million acres, 40 of which are off shore) for drilling for oil

John McCain

Nuclear Weapons: McCain supports the keeping of nuclear weapons, stating "It’s naive to say that we will never use nuclear weapons."

Environment: John McCain has a system of market-based restraints on greenhouse gas emissions that reduces the amount of CO2 released while simultaneously searching for alternate energy sources.

Off-Shore Drilling: John McCain wants the restrictions on offshore oil drilling to be removed, so that we can use our natural oil reserves.

Forrest Heck

Nuclear Weapons: I think that nuclear weapons should be reduced in number, but we still need a small amount to instill a fear of retaliation should some other country decide to nuke us. Although we need nukes, we also need to have restrictions on the number of nuclear weapons, just like we do with CO2 emissions. Without restrictions, we will inevitably escalate into an arms race and and another Cold War. "Do not forget history, lest it repeat itself."

Environment: In my view, I say that we are desperately in need of an energy source other than oil. We need to cut down on CO2 emissions, along with spending more money on alternate energy so we can reduce the market for oil, so we have more money to spend on alternate energy. The alternate energy soure also needs to be less-than-oil level of damage or non-destructive

Off-Shore Drilling: I say that we should let the oil companies drill offshore, as long as they do not disturb the balence of the ecology surroinding the drill. Although, even though I support it, off-shore oil drilling will need to be restricted again once we find a stable new energy.